ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Forecasting the potential area of an invasive species Cylindrocopturus adspersus LeConte (Coleoptera: Curculionidae) in Ukraine
1
Department of Integrated Protection and Plant Quarantine, National University of Life and Environmental Sciences of Ukraine, Kyiv, Ukraine
A - Research concept and design; B - Collection and/or assembly of data; C - Data analysis and interpretation; D - Writing the article; E - Critical revision of the article; F - Final approval of article
Submission date: 2021-09-08
Acceptance date: 2021-11-23
Online publication date: 2022-03-17
Corresponding author
Sergey Moroz
Department of Integrated Protection and Plant Quarantine, National University of Life and Environmental Sciences of Ukraine, Kyiv, Ukraine
Department of Integrated Protection and Plant Quarantine, National University of Life and Environmental Sciences of Ukraine, Kyiv, Ukraine
Journal of Plant Protection Research 2022;62(1):71-77
KEYWORDS
TOPICS
ABSTRACT
The sunflower stem weevil, Cylindrocopturus adspersus LeConte is a quarantine intra-stem
pest of sunflower, distributed mainly in the United States, and discovered in the Kherson
region of Ukraine in 2020. The objective of this study was to establish a possible distribution
zone of this species in Ukraine based on the results of bioclimatic modeling. The model was
built by using programs DIVA GIS version 7.5.0 and BIOCLIM, which search for areas that
are suitable for a particular organism, through geographic information systems and by comparing
the world climate with the climate of areas in which it has already been identified.
Analysis of the model shows that in Ukraine the pest can acclimatize in the Kherson region
only (zone with up to 2.5% probability). Geographically, the territory is limited to 46−47°
of north latitude and to 33−34° of north longitude. It is located on the Black Sea Lowland
and covers territory lying no higher than 50 meters above the Black Sea level, whose land-
-surface temperature in July averages more than 28°С. The North Crimean Canal and Krasnoznaamyansky
Canal pass through the territory, which is limited in the south by Sivash,
Karkinitsky Bay and Dzharilgatsky Bay of the Black Sea, in the west − by the Dnipro Delta,
and in the north − by Kakhovka Reservoir and Kakhovskiy canal. The analysis of values of
climatic predictors for the territories which are suitable for acclimatization of a phytophage
demonstrated its high ecological plasticity and potential ability to move not only on coastal
territories, but also on territories with a continental climate.
RESPONSIBLE EDITOR
Ekaterina Grizanova
CONFLICT OF INTEREST
The authors have declared that no conflict of interests exist.
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| eISSN: | 1899-007X |
| ISSN: | 1427-4345 |
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